Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.157463 0.177865 0.199368 0.223668 0.250310 0.278579 0.310787
2025-04-20 0.131013 0.158648 0.189373 0.225884 0.267893 0.314518 0.369978
2025-04-27 0.114094 0.146723 0.184694 0.231748 0.288064 0.352865 0.432601
2025-05-04 0.098682 0.134170 0.177231 0.232639 0.301299 0.382814 0.486061
2025-05-11 0.088430 0.126425 0.174278 0.237922 0.319189 0.418271 0.546860
2025-05-18 0.080367 0.120360 0.172480 0.243894 0.337547 0.454432 0.609360
2025-05-25 0.070837 0.111167 0.165543 0.242263 0.345510 0.477286 0.655488
2025-06-01 0.063250 0.103766 0.160172 0.241946 0.354635 0.501409 0.703498
2025-06-08 0.056571 0.096912 0.154836 0.241011 0.362443 0.523626 0.749274
2025-06-15 0.052567 0.093591 0.154125 0.246240 0.378567 0.557079 0.810541
2025-06-22 0.047639 0.088307 0.150042 0.246184 0.387027 0.580150 0.858260
2025-06-29 0.043092 0.083147 0.145672 0.245269 0.393953 0.601035 0.903280
2025-07-06 0.038867 0.078192 0.141374 0.244360 0.401065 0.622759 0.950686
2025-07-13 0.035949 0.075158 0.139835 0.247475 0.414082 0.653083 1.010808
2025-07-20 0.034028 0.073675 0.140647 0.254198 0.432635 0.691754 1.083617
2025-07-27 0.031254 0.070343 0.138120 0.255384 0.442687 0.718269 1.139644
2025-08-03 0.029547 0.068824 0.138506 0.261205 0.459973 0.755728 1.212217
2025-08-10 0.028091 0.067631 0.139334 0.267715 0.478459 0.795349 1.288757
2025-08-17 0.025504 0.063907 0.135409 0.265994 0.483738 0.815218 1.336645
2025-08-24 0.023366 0.060857 0.132447 0.265673 0.491119 0.838305 1.389657
2025-08-31 0.021338 0.057804 0.129231 0.264676 0.497243 0.859488 1.440141
2025-09-07 0.020313 0.056820 0.129812 0.270322 0.514405 0.898020 1.517462
2025-09-14 0.018697 0.054324 0.127299 0.270266 0.521977 0.921701 1.572619